Heading into Week 11, the Kansas City Chiefs remain unbeaten and are atop the Super Bowl odds at the best online sportsbook, BetMGM. The Chiefs came away with a 16-14 win after blocking a 30-yard field goal against the Denver Broncos as time expired to move to 9-0.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Commanders
The Eagles have won five straight and host the Commanders and quarterback Jayden Daniels. Since Week 6, the Eagles have surrendered just one passing touchdown and have four interceptions. More notably, considering Daniels’ running abilities, QBs average just 11.56 rushing yards per game against Philly. The Eagles continue to roll.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers moved into first place in the AFC North, and after this game, they’ll fall into second. The Steelers’ run defence puts this game in the Ravens’ favour. Pittsburgh has surrendered six rushing touchdowns over the last four games and will take on the league’s leading rusher in Derrick Henry. The Ravens’ pass defence remains the worst in the league, but they continue to thwart the ground game, holding rushing attacks to 56.8 yards.
Cleveland Browns vs. New Orleans Saints
The Saints got the “interim bump” in Week 10, winning at home with Darren Rizzi in his first game as interim head coach. That will continue here. The defence averages more than one interception per game. If any QB can throw interceptions in droves, it’s Browns signal-caller Jameis Winston, who threw three in his last outing.
Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears
The Packers are coming off a much-needed bye week and take on a Bears team that’s been struggling mightily, especially at the QB position. Bears QB Caleb Williams is averaging 156 passing yards per game over the last three weeks. The Packers average nearly 2.5 sacks per game, and Williams is coming off a game in which he was sacked nine times.
PICK: Packers -6.5 (-110)
New York Jets vs. Indianapolis Colts
The Jets have been a disaster all season and are 1-6 in their last seven games. They’re coming off a 31-6 loss to Arizona. The Colts have QB issues, but their running game will be enough to cover. The Jets allow more than 106 rushing yards per game and have let running backs score five times in their past four matchups.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Detroit Lions
The Lions came back and won in Week 11 despite Lions QB Jared Goff throwing five interceptions. It looks like Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence could miss the remainder of the season, leaving things to Mac Jones. The Jaguars managed just seven points and 143 yards of offence last week, and Jones threw two interceptions. They’re a disaster.
Miami Dolphins vs. Las Vegas Raiders
The Dolphins’ defence came to play on Monday Night Football against the Los Angeles Rams, recovering a fumble and intercepting Matthew Stafford once. Now, they take on a Raiders team that’s fired their offensive coordinator, QB coach, and offensive line coach. The Raiders have putrid QB play, while the Dolphins, with Tua Tagovaloa under centre, have been playing better. I simply cannot take the Raiders here.
PICK: Dolphins -7.5 (-115)
Los Angeles Rams vs. New England Patriots
The Rams looked rough on MNF against the Dolphins. They converted just three third downs and had a pair of turnovers. The Rams have the third-worst red zone touchdown percentage at 46.88 per cent. That rate drops to 33.33 per cent on the road. The Patriots are far from an offensive powerhouse, but their defence can slow them down enough to cover.
PICK: Patriots +4.5 (-110)
Minnesota Vikings vs. Tennessee Titans
The Vikings average 1.67 interceptions per game, and next up is Titans QB Will Levis, who’s thrown an interception in all but one game this season. Not to mention, the Vikings have had three picks over the last two games. Minnesota hasn’t allowed a rushing touchdown to RBs over the last three games. Looking at the full season, the total rushing scores is just three.
Denver Broncos vs. Atlanta Falcons
The Broncos were oh-so-close to upsetting the Chiefs but fell short on a blocked field goal as time expired. Now, they take on a Falcons team that lost to the Saints. The Broncos defence must repeat their performance against the Chiefs, allowing one passing touchdown and 2.38 yards per carry. The Broncos have 35 sacks this season (second in the league), while Falcons QB Kirk Cousins has been pressured 106 times.
PICK: Broncos -1.5 (-110)
San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks
The 49ers had Christian McCaffrey back in the lineup. While he wasn’t particularly effective on the ground (13 carries, 39 yards), the Seahawks present a good matchup for him. The Seahawks allow 123.44 rushing yards per game and 5.05 yards per carry. They’ve also had trouble against the pass, including versus the 49ers earlier this season. In that game, 49ers QB Brock Purdy had three touchdown passes.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills
The Chiefs barely remain undefeated, and while this could be their first loss, I cannot pass them up on the spread. The Bills have given up multiple touchdown passes in each of the last two games. They’ve also struggled against RBs, seeing them score three times over the past two games, including twice through the air. Chiefs RBs combined for over 100 receiving yards against Denver.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers’ defence is for real, allowing just one passing touchdown per game. Against RBs, they’ve only let them score once on the ground. The Bengals present a tough task for this defence, with QB Joe Burrow throwing nine touchdowns over the past two weeks, but the Chargers allow just 13.1 points per game, the fewest in the NFL.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Houston Texans
Without Dak Prescott in the lineup, the Cowboys looked destitute. QBs Trey Lance and Cooper Rush combined for 17 completions on 29 attempts for 66 yards and one touchdown. That’s 2.2 yards per attempt. Yeah, this team cannot score with this cast of QBs. Texans win massively. This won’t be close.